Showing posts with label US. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US. Show all posts

Mar 23, 2010

Return of a U.S. Debt Dollar

Take a (compressed) look at what author and business owner Nathan Martin calls:

This chart, based on the latest (March 11, 2010) U.S. Treasury Z1 Flow of Funds report, shows the change in GDP divided by the change in Debt. Or in other words: it illustrates how much extra economic productivity is gained by pumping one extra dollar of debt into our debt backed money system.

As is clear, the economic return of one dollar of 'debt infusion' declined from a positive $ 0.70 in the sixties to a negative $ 0.45 return by the end of 2009!

From a macroeconomic point of view the U.S. economy is fully saturated with debt. Flushing more debt in the U.S. economy will no longer help the economy out. Moreover, it will damage the economic growth!

Interested? Read the full blog of Nathan A. Martin

- Source: The Most Important Chart of the Century!
- U.S. Treasury Z1 Flow of Funds report (March 11, 2010)

Jan 10, 2010

US Employment Rate Halleluja

As a professional actuary, just take a look at the next selected "Dave Rosenberg's charts" , showing:

  • Chrt2: The true measure of US Joblessness end 2009: 17%
  • Chrt3: Median duration of unemployment rose to 20.5 weeks
  • Chrt5: Overall employment rate is 58%, lowest since 1983

You don't have be an actuary to understand the importance of a healthy Employment-to-population ratio, given the increase of the 'aging population' in the next decades....

As an expert in statistics, would you say we're on the right track?
What would you advice US?

Used Sources:
- Excellent original article by Dave Rosenberg (pdf)
- The lost decade
- Forget Unemployment, The Real Nightmare Is EMPLOYMENT
- Dutch: De Amerikaanse banenhoax

Jun 6, 2008

Pension differences Japan & U.S.

In Japan, only 30.7% of respondents agreed or strongly agreed that employers will play a less significant role in pension provision in 20 years, the survey found. In comparison, 66.5% of U.S. respondents to an earlier survey agreed or strongly agreed.